SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Frazer Richards v Stacey Gooding (Thu 14 Nov 2019)

Match won by Frazer Richards. Result: 7-11,9-11,11-6,11-8,11-4.

Starting level for Frazer Richards: 6,616, level confidence: 67%.
Starting level for Stacey Gooding: 4,118, level confidence: 80%. Set manually.
Frazer Richards to win as he is currently playing 61% better than Stacey Gooding.

Frazer Richards won 60% of the games and 55% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 10%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 23% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Frazer Richards played 13% better than Stacey Gooding in this match.

As Frazer Richards has played below his allowed range at 5,160, his level reduction is 10.8% before damping. On the assumption that Frazer Richards would normally have been playing at level 6,199 (based on typical behaviour), Stacey Gooding played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 15%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 8.4% and 12% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Frazer Richards changes to -8.4% and Stacey Gooding changes to +10%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Frazer Richards becomes -3.1% and for Stacey Gooding becomes +3.9%.

Given Frazer Richards's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 6.5% has been applied to his level change.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'South Wales Winter 2019' so the adjustment for Frazer Richards is -2.2% and for Stacey Gooding is +3%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Frazer Richards: 82%, Stacey Gooding: 90%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Frazer Richards: 69%, Stacey Gooding: 75%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Frazer Richards: 6,466, level confidence: 69%.
Final level for Stacey Gooding: 4,233, level confidence: 75%.