SquashLevels calculations
Declan James v Patrick Rooney (Thu 29 Aug 2019)
Match won by Declan James. Result: 12-10,15-13,11-8.
Starting level for
Declan James:
41,721, level confidence: 47%.
Starting level for
Patrick Rooney:
31,159, level confidence: 50%.
Declan James to win as he is currently playing
34% better than Patrick Rooney.
Declan James won all of the games and 55% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 23% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Declan James played
33% better than Patrick Rooney in this match.
In this case, Declan James played at level 41,528 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Patrick Rooney is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Declan James: 69%, Patrick Rooney: 71%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Declan James: 69%, Patrick Rooney: 71%.
A final adjustment of +0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Declan James:
41,750, level confidence: 69%.
Final level for Patrick Rooney:
31,254, level confidence: 71%.