SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Frazer Richards v Elliot Morris Devred (Sat 17 Aug 2019)

Match won by Elliot Morris Devred. Result: 8-11,3-11,3-11.

Starting level for Frazer Richards: 5,411, level confidence: 70%.
Starting level for Elliot Morris Devred: 17,861, level confidence: 57%.
Elliot Morris Devred to win as he is currently playing 230% better than Frazer Richards.

Elliot Morris Devred won all of the games and 70% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 136% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Elliot Morris Devred played 136% better than Frazer Richards in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Elliot Morris Devred was taking it easy by anything up to 28%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 9,355 and 17,861 without affecting his level.

In this case, Elliot Morris Devred played at level 12,840 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. On the assumption that Elliot Morris Devred would normally have been playing at level 12,926 (based on typical behaviour), Frazer Richards played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 0.7%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0%.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Elliot Morris Devred changes to 0% and Frazer Richards changes to +0.3%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Elliot Morris Devred becomes 0% and for Frazer Richards becomes 0%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'Hirwaun Open 2019' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Elliot Morris Devred: 76%, Frazer Richards: 83%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Elliot Morris Devred: 64%, Frazer Richards: 70%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Frazer Richards: 5,412, level confidence: 70%.
Final level for Elliot Morris Devred: 17,834, level confidence: 64%.