SquashLevels calculations
Frazer Richards v Anthony Roberts (Sat 17 Aug 2019)
Match won by Frazer Richards. Result: 15-13,13-11,11-8.
Starting level for
Frazer Richards:
5,385, level confidence: 49%.
Starting level for
Anthony Roberts:
3,995, level confidence: 23%.
Frazer Richards to win as he is currently playing
35% better than Anthony Roberts.
Frazer Richards won all of the games and 55% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 22% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Frazer Richards played
33% better than Anthony Roberts in this match.
In this case, Frazer Richards played at level 5,306 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Anthony Roberts is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Frazer Richards: 70%, Anthony Roberts: 48%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Frazer Richards: 70%, Anthony Roberts: 48%.
A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Frazer Richards:
5,377, level confidence: 70%.
Final level for Anthony Roberts:
3,989, level confidence: 48%.