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Miko ??Ijänen v Owain Taylor (Wed 12 Jun 2019)

Match won by Miko ??Ijänen. Result: 4-11,11-9,11-8,11-8.

Starting level for Miko ??Ijänen: 26,755, level confidence: 67%.
Starting level for Owain Taylor: 23,206, level confidence: 78%. Set manually.
Miko ??Ijänen to win as he is currently playing 15% better than Owain Taylor.

Miko ??Ijänen won 75% of the games and 51% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 3% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Miko ??Ijänen played 18% better than Owain Taylor in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Miko ??Ijänen actually played at a level of 27,029 and Owain Taylor at a level of 22,971. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 1% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Miko ??Ijänen changes to +1% and Owain Taylor changes to -0.8%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Miko ??Ijänen becomes +0.4% and for Owain Taylor becomes -0.3%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Prague Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Miko ??Ijänen: 82%, Owain Taylor: 88%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Miko ??Ijänen: 81%, Owain Taylor: 87%.

A final adjustment of +0% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Miko ??Ijänen: 26,765, level confidence: 81%.
Final level for Owain Taylor: 23,214, level confidence: 87%.