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Baptiste Masotti v Tom J Walsh (Sun 12 May 2019)

Match won by Baptiste Masotti. Result: 11-9,11-7,11-4.

Starting level for Baptiste Masotti: 34,726, level confidence: 56%.
Starting level for Tom J Walsh: 21,675, level confidence: 58%.
Baptiste Masotti to win as he is currently playing 60% better than Tom J Walsh.

Baptiste Masotti won all of the games and 62% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 65% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Baptiste Masotti played 65% better than Tom J Walsh in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Baptiste Masotti actually played at a level of 35,241 and Tom J Walsh at a level of 21,358. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 1.5% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 1.2% and 1.2% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Baptiste Masotti changes to +1.2% and Tom J Walsh changes to -1.1%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Baptiste Masotti becomes +0.5% and for Tom J Walsh becomes -0.5%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Wimbledon Club Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Baptiste Masotti: 75%, Tom J Walsh: 76%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Baptiste Masotti: 73%, Tom J Walsh: 75%.

A final adjustment of +0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Baptiste Masotti: 34,777, level confidence: 73%.
Final level for Tom J Walsh: 21,707, level confidence: 75%.