Benjamin Aubert v Owain Taylor (Thu 09 May 2019)
Match won by Benjamin Aubert. Result: 5-11,11-9,11-5,11-6.
Starting level for
Benjamin Aubert:
29,249, level confidence: 77%. Set manually.
Starting level for
Owain Taylor:
23,370, level confidence: 81%. Set manually.
Benjamin Aubert to win as he is currently playing
25% better than Owain Taylor.
Benjamin Aubert won 75% of the games and 55% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 23% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Benjamin Aubert played
24% better than Owain Taylor in this match.
In this case, Benjamin Aubert played at level 29,026 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Owain Taylor is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Benjamin Aubert: 88%, Owain Taylor: 90%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Benjamin Aubert: 87%, Owain Taylor: 90%.
A final adjustment of +0.3% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Benjamin Aubert:
29,281, level confidence: 87%.
Final level for Owain Taylor:
23,488, level confidence: 90%.