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Baptiste Masotti v D?Vid Boros (Sun 28 Apr 2019)

Match won by Baptiste Masotti. Result: 11-3,11-6,11-7.

Starting level for Baptiste Masotti: 36,055, level confidence: 68%.
Starting level for D?Vid Boros: 5,497, level confidence: 10%.
Baptiste Masotti to win as he is currently playing 556% better than D?Vid Boros.

Baptiste Masotti won all of the games and 67% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 106% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Baptiste Masotti played 106% better than D?Vid Boros in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Baptiste Masotti was taking it easy by anything up to 50%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 9,162 and 36,055 without affecting his level.

In this case, Baptiste Masotti played at level 14,355 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. On the assumption that Baptiste Masotti would normally have been playing at level 18,175 (based on typical behaviour), D?Vid Boros played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 27%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0% and 9.7% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Baptiste Masotti changes to 0% and D?Vid Boros changes to +9.7%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Baptiste Masotti becomes 0% and for D?Vid Boros becomes +3.6%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'Senior European Team Championship' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Baptiste Masotti: 83%, D?Vid Boros: 32%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Baptiste Masotti: 46%, D?Vid Boros: 18%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Baptiste Masotti: 36,001, level confidence: 46%.
Final level for D?Vid Boros: 5,684, level confidence: 18%.