SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Mohammad Syafiq Kamal v Ryunosuke Tsukue (Wed 24 Apr 2019)

Match won by Mohammad Syafiq Kamal. Result: 8-11,13-11,11-8,11-6.

Starting level for Mohammad Syafiq Kamal: 22,939, level confidence: 78%. Set manually.
Starting level for Ryunosuke Tsukue: 26,763, level confidence: 56%.
Ryunosuke Tsukue to win as he is currently playing 17% better than Mohammad Syafiq Kamal.

Mohammad Syafiq Kamal won 75% of the games and 54% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 19% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Mohammad Syafiq Kamal played 23% better than Ryunosuke Tsukue in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Mohammad Syafiq Kamal actually played at a level of 27,498 and Ryunosuke Tsukue at a level of 22,326. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 20% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Mohammad Syafiq Kamal changes to +13% and Ryunosuke Tsukue changes to -18%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Mohammad Syafiq Kamal becomes +3.3% and for Ryunosuke Tsukue becomes -4.2%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Sram' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Mohammad Syafiq Kamal: 88%, Ryunosuke Tsukue: 75%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Mohammad Syafiq Kamal: 74%, Ryunosuke Tsukue: 62%.

A final adjustment of +0.9% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Mohammad Syafiq Kamal: 23,641, level confidence: 74%.
Final level for Ryunosuke Tsukue: 26,223, level confidence: 62%.