SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Raneem El Welily v Nour El Sherbini (Sun 14 Apr 2019)

Match won by Raneem El Welily. Result: 10-12,9-11,11-8,11-8,11-8.

Starting level for Raneem El Welily: 12,904, level confidence: 87%. Set manually.
Starting level for Nour El Sherbini: 14,166, level confidence: 79%. Set manually.
Nour El Sherbini to win as she is currently playing 10% better than Raneem El Welily.

Raneem El Welily won 60% of the games and 53% of the points.
This games result would be expected if she was better by around 10%.
This points result would be expected if she was better by around 11% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Raneem El Welily played 10% better than Nour El Sherbini in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Raneem El Welily actually played at a level of 14,190 and Nour El Sherbini at a level of 12,882. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 10% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Raneem El Welily changes to +8.6% and Nour El Sherbini changes to -9.5%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Raneem El Welily becomes +2.7% and for Nour El Sherbini becomes -2.9%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Dpd Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Raneem El Welily: 93%, Nour El Sherbini: 89%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Raneem El Welily: 85%, Nour El Sherbini: 81%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Raneem El Welily: 13,199, level confidence: 85%.
Final level for Nour El Sherbini: 13,789, level confidence: 81%.