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Baptiste Masotti v Sebastian Bonmalais (Thu 14 Feb 2019)

Match won by Baptiste Masotti. Result: 11-9,11-9,11-7.

Starting level for Baptiste Masotti: 36,053, level confidence: 57%.
Starting level for Sebastian Bonmalais: 23,673, level confidence: 30%.
Baptiste Masotti to win as he is currently playing 52% better than Sebastian Bonmalais.

Baptiste Masotti won all of the games and 57% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 32% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Baptiste Masotti played 40% better than Sebastian Bonmalais in this match.

In this case, Baptiste Masotti played at level 33,618 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. On the assumption that Baptiste Masotti would normally have been playing at level 34,201 (based on typical behaviour), Sebastian Bonmalais played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 1.7%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0% and 1.4% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Baptiste Masotti changes to 0% and Sebastian Bonmalais changes to +1.4%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Baptiste Masotti becomes 0% and for Sebastian Bonmalais becomes +0.6%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'Senior French Nationals' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Baptiste Masotti: 76%, Sebastian Bonmalais: 55%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Baptiste Masotti: 72%, Sebastian Bonmalais: 52%.

A final adjustment of +0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Baptiste Masotti: 35,963, level confidence: 72%.
Final level for Sebastian Bonmalais: 23,969, level confidence: 52%.