SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Jaymie Haycocks v Nick Mulvey (Wed 05 Dec 2018)

Match won by Jaymie Haycocks. Result: 10-12,11-6,11-8,11-4.

Starting level for Jaymie Haycocks: 24,844, level confidence: 75%. Set manually.
Starting level for Nick Mulvey: 16,680, level confidence: 77%. Set manually.
Jaymie Haycocks to win as he is currently playing 49% better than Nick Mulvey.

Jaymie Haycocks won 75% of the games and 59% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 43% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Jaymie Haycocks played 31% better than Nick Mulvey in this match.

As Jaymie Haycocks has played below his allowed range at 22,213, his level reduction is 1.6% before damping. On the assumption that Jaymie Haycocks would normally have been playing at level 23,681 (based on typical behaviour), Nick Mulvey played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 4.1%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 1.3% and 3.3% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Jaymie Haycocks changes to -1.3% and Nick Mulvey changes to +3.2%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Jaymie Haycocks becomes -0.6% and for Nick Mulvey becomes +1.4%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Grimsby Cleethorpes Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Jaymie Haycocks: 87%, Nick Mulvey: 88%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Jaymie Haycocks: 81%, Nick Mulvey: 83%.

Final level for Jaymie Haycocks: 24,708, level confidence: 81%.
Final level for Nick Mulvey: 16,911, level confidence: 83%.