SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Sam Weeds v Daniel Bergin (Thu 22 Nov 2018)

Match won by Daniel Bergin. Result: 9-11,7-11,11-5,5-11.

Starting level for Sam Weeds: 5,200, level confidence: 71%. Set manually.
Starting level for Daniel Bergin: 6,536, level confidence: 61%.
Daniel Bergin to win as he is currently playing 26% better than Sam Weeds.

Daniel Bergin won 75% of the games and 54% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 19% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Daniel Bergin played 23% better than Sam Weeds in this match.

In this case, Daniel Bergin played at level 6,408 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Sam Weeds is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0%.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Daniel Bergin changes to 0% and Sam Weeds changes to 0%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Daniel Bergin becomes 0% and for Sam Weeds becomes 0%.

Given Sam Weeds's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 0.9% has been applied to his level change.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'South Wales Winter 2018' so the adjustment for Daniel Bergin is 0% and for Sam Weeds is 0%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Daniel Bergin: 78%, Sam Weeds: 84%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Daniel Bergin: 77%, Sam Weeds: 83%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Sam Weeds: 5,196, level confidence: 83%.
Final level for Daniel Bergin: 6,526, level confidence: 77%.