SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Chris Hampton v Josh Davies (Thu 15 Nov 2018)

Match won by Chris Hampton. Result: 13-15,15-10,15-4,15-11.

Starting level for Chris Hampton: 1,743, level confidence: 73%. Set manually.
Starting level for Josh Davies: 1,642, level confidence: 71%. Set manually.
Chris Hampton to win as he is currently playing 6% better than Josh Davies.

Chris Hampton won 75% of the games and 59% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 45% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Chris Hampton played 32% better than Josh Davies in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Chris Hampton actually played at a level of 1,941 and Josh Davies at a level of 1,475. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 11% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Chris Hampton changes to +10.7% and Josh Davies changes to -11%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Chris Hampton becomes +5.4% and for Josh Davies becomes -5.7%.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Mid Glamorgan Winter 2018' so the adjustment for Chris Hampton is +4.1% and for Josh Davies is -4.2%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Chris Hampton: 85%, Josh Davies: 84%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Chris Hampton: 77%, Josh Davies: 76%.

A final adjustment of +0.9% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Chris Hampton: 1,811, level confidence: 77%.
Final level for Josh Davies: 1,606, level confidence: 76%.