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Carlos Cornes v Ramit Tandon (Thu 08 Nov 2018)

Match won by Carlos Cornes. Result: 7-11,4-11,11-5,11-6,11-7.

Starting level for Carlos Cornes: 25,240, level confidence: 89%. Set manually.
Starting level for Ramit Tandon: 33,593, level confidence: 76%. Set manually.
Ramit Tandon to win as he is currently playing 33% better than Carlos Cornes.

Carlos Cornes won 60% of the games and 52% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 10%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 10% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Carlos Cornes played 10% better than Ramit Tandon in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Carlos Cornes actually played at a level of 30,540 and Ramit Tandon at a level of 27,763. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 21% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 18% and 18% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Carlos Cornes changes to +15% and Ramit Tandon changes to -18%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Carlos Cornes becomes +3.6% and for Ramit Tandon becomes -3.9%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Kolkata International' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Carlos Cornes: 94%, Ramit Tandon: 87%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Carlos Cornes: 78%, Ramit Tandon: 72%.

A final adjustment of +0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Carlos Cornes: 26,157, level confidence: 78%.
Final level for Ramit Tandon: 32,378, level confidence: 72%.