SquashLevels calculations
Emyr Evans v Roshan Bharos (Thu 01 Nov 2018)
Match won by Emyr Evans. Result: 11-7,11-8,11-6.
Starting level for
Emyr Evans:
24,551, level confidence: 82%. Set manually.
Starting level for
Roshan Bharos:
14,995, level confidence: 73%. Set manually.
Emyr Evans to win as he is currently playing
64% better than Roshan Bharos.
Emyr Evans won all of the games and 61% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 57% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Emyr Evans played
56% better than Roshan Bharos in this match.
In this case, Emyr Evans played at level 23,458 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Roshan Bharos is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Emyr Evans: 90%, Roshan Bharos: 86%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Emyr Evans: 88%, Roshan Bharos: 84%.
A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Emyr Evans:
24,514, level confidence: 88%.
Final level for Roshan Bharos:
14,973, level confidence: 84%.