SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Jaymie Haycocks v Elliott Morris Devred (Mon 29 Oct 2018)

Match won by Jaymie Haycocks. Result: 11-6,10-12,11-9,11-5.

Starting level for Jaymie Haycocks: 22,916, level confidence: 81%. Set manually.
Starting level for Elliott Morris Devred: 18,679, level confidence: 86%. Set manually.
Jaymie Haycocks to win as he is currently playing 23% better than Elliott Morris Devred.

Jaymie Haycocks won 75% of the games and 57% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 34% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Jaymie Haycocks played 28% better than Elliott Morris Devred in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Jaymie Haycocks actually played at a level of 23,416 and Elliott Morris Devred at a level of 18,280. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 2.2% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Jaymie Haycocks changes to +2% and Elliott Morris Devred changes to -1.9%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Jaymie Haycocks becomes +0.8% and for Elliott Morris Devred becomes -0.8%.

Given Jaymie Haycocks's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 44% has been applied to his level change.

Given Elliott Morris Devred's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 37% has been applied to his level change.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Warwickshire Winter League 2018/19' so the adjustment for Jaymie Haycocks is +0.4% and for Elliott Morris Devred is -0.4%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Jaymie Haycocks: 90%, Elliott Morris Devred: 93%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Jaymie Haycocks: 88%, Elliott Morris Devred: 91%.

A final adjustment of +0.3% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Jaymie Haycocks: 23,072, level confidence: 88%.
Final level for Elliott Morris Devred: 18,643, level confidence: 91%.