SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Zac Alexander v Leandro Romiglio (Wed 24 Oct 2018)

Match won by Zac Alexander. Result: 11-4,11-7,9-11,12-10.

Starting level for Zac Alexander: 29,701, level confidence: 31%.
Starting level for Leandro Romiglio: 19,912, level confidence: 71%. Set manually.
Zac Alexander to win as he is currently playing 49% better than Leandro Romiglio.

Zac Alexander won 75% of the games and 57% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 34% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Zac Alexander played 28% better than Leandro Romiglio in this match.

As Zac Alexander has played below his allowed range at 26,227, his level reduction is 2.8% before damping. On the assumption that Zac Alexander would normally have been playing at level 28,302 (based on typical behaviour), Leandro Romiglio played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 5.3%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 2.3% and 4.3% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Zac Alexander changes to -2.3% and Leandro Romiglio changes to +1.9%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Zac Alexander becomes -0.9% and for Leandro Romiglio becomes +0.8%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Boston Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Zac Alexander: 56%, Leandro Romiglio: 84%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Zac Alexander: 52%, Leandro Romiglio: 78%.

Final level for Zac Alexander: 29,428, level confidence: 52%.
Final level for Leandro Romiglio: 20,076, level confidence: 78%.