SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Elliott Morris Devred v Ricky Davies (Thu 25 Oct 2018)

Match won by Elliott Morris Devred. Result: 11-6,11-9,11-9.

Starting level for Elliott Morris Devred: 18,720, level confidence: 76%. Set manually.
Starting level for Ricky Davies: 13,115, level confidence: 62%.
Elliott Morris Devred to win as he is currently playing 43% better than Ricky Davies.

Elliott Morris Devred won all of the games and 58% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 38% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Elliott Morris Devred played 43% better than Ricky Davies in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Elliott Morris Devred actually played at a level of 18,755 and Ricky Davies at a level of 13,090. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 0% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0%.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Elliott Morris Devred changes to 0% and Ricky Davies changes to 0%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Elliott Morris Devred becomes +0.1% and for Ricky Davies becomes 0%.

Given Elliott Morris Devred's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 37% has been applied to his level change.

Given Ricky Davies's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 25% has been applied to his level change.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Elliott Morris Devred: 87%, Ricky Davies: 79%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Elliott Morris Devred: 87%, Ricky Davies: 79%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Elliott Morris Devred: 18,698, level confidence: 87%.
Final level for Ricky Davies: 13,090, level confidence: 79%.