SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Emyr Evans v Benjamin Aubert (Thu 20 Sep 2018)

Match won by Emyr Evans. Result: 11-9,7-11,4-11,11-6,11-8.

Starting level for Emyr Evans: 24,121, level confidence: 67%.
Starting level for Benjamin Aubert: 25,271, level confidence: 54%.
Benjamin Aubert to win as he is currently playing 5% better than Emyr Evans.

Emyr Evans won 60% of the games and 49% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 10%.
This points result would be expected if he was worse by around 2% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Emyr Evans played 7% better than Benjamin Aubert in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Emyr Evans actually played at a level of 25,532 and Benjamin Aubert at a level of 23,874. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 5.9% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Emyr Evans changes to +4.6% and Benjamin Aubert changes to -5.7%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Emyr Evans becomes +1.6% and for Benjamin Aubert becomes -1.8%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Madeira International Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Emyr Evans: 82%, Benjamin Aubert: 73%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Emyr Evans: 77%, Benjamin Aubert: 69%.

A final adjustment of -0% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Emyr Evans: 24,475, level confidence: 77%.
Final level for Benjamin Aubert: 24,837, level confidence: 69%.