SquashLevels calculations
Charles Sharpes v Ashley Davies (Wed 19 Sep 2018)
Match won by Charles Sharpes. Result: 11-6,16-14,11-8.
Starting level for
Charles Sharpes:
25,648, level confidence: 42%.
Starting level for
Ashley Davies:
17,846, level confidence: 47%.
Charles Sharpes to win as he is currently playing
44% better than Ashley Davies.
Charles Sharpes won all of the games and 58% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 36% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Charles Sharpes played
42% better than Ashley Davies in this match.
In this case, Charles Sharpes played at level 25,355 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Ashley Davies is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Charles Sharpes: 64%, Ashley Davies: 68%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Charles Sharpes: 64%, Ashley Davies: 68%.
Final level for Charles Sharpes:
25,648, level confidence: 64%.
Final level for Ashley Davies:
17,846, level confidence: 68%.