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Abdulla Al-Tamimi v Harinder Pal Singh Sandhu (Wed 05 Sep 2018)

Match won by Abdulla Al-Tamimi. Result: 11-6,11-8,11-8.

Starting level for Abdulla Al-Tamimi: 37,995, level confidence: 42%.
Starting level for Harinder Pal Singh Sandhu: 26,631, level confidence: 79%. Set manually.
Abdulla Al-Tamimi to win as he is currently playing 43% better than Harinder Pal Singh Sandhu.

Abdulla Al-Tamimi won all of the games and 60% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 50% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Abdulla Al-Tamimi played 52% better than Harinder Pal Singh Sandhu in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Abdulla Al-Tamimi actually played at a level of 39,172 and Harinder Pal Singh Sandhu at a level of 25,831. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 3.1% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 2.6% and 2.6% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Abdulla Al-Tamimi changes to +2.6% and Harinder Pal Singh Sandhu changes to -1.4%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Abdulla Al-Tamimi becomes +1% and for Harinder Pal Singh Sandhu becomes -0.6%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA China Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Abdulla Al-Tamimi: 65%, Harinder Pal Singh Sandhu: 89%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Abdulla Al-Tamimi: 63%, Harinder Pal Singh Sandhu: 86%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Abdulla Al-Tamimi: 38,017, level confidence: 63%.
Final level for Harinder Pal Singh Sandhu: 26,600, level confidence: 86%.