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Diego Elias v Todd Harrity (Tue 28 Aug 2018)

Match won by Diego Elias. Result: 3-0.

Starting level for Diego Elias: 43,552, level confidence: 78%. Set manually.
Starting level for Todd Harrity: 32,174, level confidence: 75%. Set manually.
Diego Elias to win as he is currently playing 35% better than Todd Harrity.

Diego Elias won all of the games. There are no points scores.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This result only has game scores. Less accurate but we can still work with it.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Diego Elias actually played at a level of 49,519 and Todd Harrity at a level of 28,297. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 14% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 12% and 12% respectively.
Without points scores, the adjustment has been reduced to 6.5%.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Diego Elias changes to +6.2% and Todd Harrity changes to -6.5%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Diego Elias becomes +1.7% and for Todd Harrity becomes -1.9%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'Xxviii Pan American Cayman Island Championships 2018' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Diego Elias: 89%, Todd Harrity: 87%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Diego Elias: 78%, Todd Harrity: 76%.

A final adjustment of +0% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Diego Elias: 44,156, level confidence: 78%.
Final level for Todd Harrity: 31,691, level confidence: 76%.