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Ramit Tandon v Syed Azlan Amjad (Tue 28 Aug 2018)

Match won by Ramit Tandon. Result: 11-3,11-5,11-3.

Starting level for Ramit Tandon: 33,894, level confidence: 52%.
Starting level for Syed Azlan Amjad: 11,999, level confidence: 57%.
Ramit Tandon to win as he is currently playing 182% better than Syed Azlan Amjad.

Ramit Tandon won all of the games and 75% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 200% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Ramit Tandon played 200% better than Syed Azlan Amjad in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Ramit Tandon actually played at a level of 34,930 and Syed Azlan Amjad at a level of 11,643. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 3.1% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 1.8% and 1.8% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Ramit Tandon changes to +1.8% and Syed Azlan Amjad changes to -1.6%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Ramit Tandon becomes +0.7% and for Syed Azlan Amjad becomes -0.8%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'Senior Asian Team Games Championship' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Ramit Tandon: 72%, Syed Azlan Amjad: 76%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Ramit Tandon: 70%, Syed Azlan Amjad: 73%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Ramit Tandon: 34,084, level confidence: 70%.
Final level for Syed Azlan Amjad: 11,887, level confidence: 73%.