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Ramit Tandon v Samuel Kang (Tue 28 Aug 2018)

Match won by Ramit Tandon. Result: 11-1,11-3,11-6.

Starting level for Ramit Tandon: 32,823, level confidence: 44%.
Starting level for Samuel Kang: 16,322, level confidence: 68%.
Ramit Tandon to win as he is currently playing 101% better than Samuel Kang.

Ramit Tandon won all of the games and 77% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 230% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Ramit Tandon played 230% better than Samuel Kang in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Ramit Tandon actually played at a level of 42,047 and Samuel Kang at a level of 12,741. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 28% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 19% and 19% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Ramit Tandon changes to +19% and Samuel Kang changes to -12%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Ramit Tandon becomes +4.1% and for Samuel Kang becomes -3.2%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'Senior Asian Team Games Championship' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Ramit Tandon: 67%, Samuel Kang: 82%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Ramit Tandon: 52%, Samuel Kang: 64%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Ramit Tandon: 34,131, level confidence: 52%.
Final level for Samuel Kang: 15,786, level confidence: 64%.