SquashLevels calculations
Eain Yow Ng v Darren Pragasam (Thu 05 Jul 2018)
Match won by Eain Yow Ng. Result: 11-5,12-10,11-5.
Starting level for
Eain Yow Ng:
30,001, level confidence: 48%.
Starting level for
Darren Pragasam:
16,256, level confidence: 65%.
Eain Yow Ng to win as he is currently playing
85% better than Darren Pragasam.
Eain Yow Ng won all of the games and 63% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 70% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Eain Yow Ng played
70% better than Darren Pragasam in this match.
In this case, Eain Yow Ng played at level 27,635 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Darren Pragasam is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Eain Yow Ng: 69%, Darren Pragasam: 80%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Eain Yow Ng: 66%, Darren Pragasam: 77%.
Final level for Eain Yow Ng:
30,001, level confidence: 66%.
Final level for Darren Pragasam:
16,256, level confidence: 77%.