SquashLevels calculations
Liam Eason v Greg Tippings (Sat 23 Jun 2018)
Match won by Greg Tippings. Result: 11-9,3-11,9-11,8-11.
Starting level for
Liam Eason:
9,323, level confidence: 66%.
Starting level for
Greg Tippings:
12,129, level confidence: 69%.
Greg Tippings to win as he is currently playing
30% better than Liam Eason.
Greg Tippings won 75% of the games and 58% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 35% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Greg Tippings played
28% better than Liam Eason in this match.
In this case, Greg Tippings played at level 11,976 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Liam Eason is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Greg Tippings: 83%, Liam Eason: 81%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Greg Tippings: 82%, Liam Eason: 81%.
A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Liam Eason:
9,309, level confidence: 81%.
Final level for Greg Tippings:
12,111, level confidence: 82%.