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Liam Eason v Luke Howells (Sat 23 Jun 2018)

Match won by Liam Eason. Result: 11-8,11-3,11-6.

Starting level for Liam Eason: 9,337, level confidence: 50%.
Starting level for Luke Howells: 4,148, level confidence: 62%.
Liam Eason to win as he is currently playing 125% better than Luke Howells.

Liam Eason won all of the games and 66% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 94% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Liam Eason played 94% better than Luke Howells in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Liam Eason was taking it easy by anything up to 16%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 6,652 and 9,337 without affecting his level.

In this case, Liam Eason played at level 8,052 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Luke Howells is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Liam Eason: 71%, Luke Howells: 79%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Liam Eason: 66%, Luke Howells: 73%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Liam Eason: 9,323, level confidence: 66%.
Final level for Luke Howells: 4,142, level confidence: 73%.