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Diego Elias v Iker Pajares Bernabeu (Wed 23 May 2018)

Match won by Diego Elias. Result: 11-5,11-7,9-11,11-5.

Starting level for Diego Elias: 41,170, level confidence: 61%.
Starting level for Iker Pajares Bernabeu: 30,891, level confidence: 68%.
Diego Elias to win as he is currently playing 33% better than Iker Pajares Bernabeu.

Diego Elias won 75% of the games and 60% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 50% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Diego Elias played 33% better than Iker Pajares Bernabeu in this match.

In this case, Diego Elias played at level 41,162 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Iker Pajares Bernabeu is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Diego Elias: 78%, Iker Pajares Bernabeu: 82%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Diego Elias: 78%, Iker Pajares Bernabeu: 82%.

A final adjustment of +0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Diego Elias: 41,192, level confidence: 78%.
Final level for Iker Pajares Bernabeu: 30,959, level confidence: 82%.