SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Jaymie Haycocks v Rui Soares (Tue 22 May 2018)

Match won by Jaymie Haycocks. Result: 10-12,11-7,13-11,11-5.

Starting level for Jaymie Haycocks: 21,118, level confidence: 75%. Set manually.
Starting level for Rui Soares: 21,378, level confidence: 70%. Set manually.
Rui Soares to win as he is currently playing 1% better than Jaymie Haycocks.

Jaymie Haycocks won 75% of the games and 56% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 29% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Jaymie Haycocks played 26% better than Rui Soares in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Jaymie Haycocks actually played at a level of 23,867 and Rui Soares at a level of 18,915. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 13% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Jaymie Haycocks changes to +12% and Rui Soares changes to -13%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Jaymie Haycocks becomes +3.2% and for Rui Soares becomes -3.3%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Tring Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Jaymie Haycocks: 87%, Rui Soares: 84%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Jaymie Haycocks: 77%, Rui Soares: 74%.

A final adjustment of +0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Jaymie Haycocks: 21,751, level confidence: 77%.
Final level for Rui Soares: 20,791, level confidence: 74%.