SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Nick Matthew v Joel Makin (Sat 28 Apr 2018)

Match won by Nick Matthew. Result: 11-4,12-10,11-7.

Starting level for Nick Matthew: 49,679, level confidence: 50%.
Starting level for Joel Makin: 39,360, level confidence: 68%.
Nick Matthew to win as he is currently playing 26% better than Joel Makin.

Nick Matthew won all of the games and 62% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 62% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Nick Matthew played 62% better than Joel Makin in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Nick Matthew actually played at a level of 56,266 and Joel Makin at a level of 34,752. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 13% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 12% and 12% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Nick Matthew changes to +12% and Joel Makin changes to -8.3%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Nick Matthew becomes +2.6% and for Joel Makin becomes -2.1%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'Senior European Team Championship' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Nick Matthew: 70%, Joel Makin: 82%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Nick Matthew: 62%, Joel Makin: 73%.

A final adjustment of +0% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Nick Matthew: 50,771, level confidence: 62%.
Final level for Joel Makin: 38,715, level confidence: 73%.