SquashLevels calculations
Gregory Gaultier v Chris Simpson (Tue 24 Apr 2018)
Match won by Gregory Gaultier. Result: 11-6,11-5,12-10.
Starting level for
Gregory Gaultier:
62,082, level confidence: 69%.
Starting level for
Chris Simpson:
35,568, level confidence: 66%.
Gregory Gaultier to win as he is currently playing
75% better than Chris Simpson.
Gregory Gaultier won all of the games and 62% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 62% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Gregory Gaultier played
62% better than Chris Simpson in this match.
In this case, Gregory Gaultier played at level 57,586 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Chris Simpson is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Gregory Gaultier: 83%, Chris Simpson: 81%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Gregory Gaultier: 80%, Chris Simpson: 78%.
A final adjustment of +0.3% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Gregory Gaultier:
62,035, level confidence: 80%.
Final level for Chris Simpson:
35,810, level confidence: 78%.