SquashLevels calculations
Nigel Thomas v Hari Major (Thu 29 Mar 2018)
Match won by Hari Major. Result: 8-11,9-11,6-11.
Starting level for
Nigel Thomas:
3,511, level confidence: 76%. Set manually.
Starting level for
Hari Major:
5,254, level confidence: 62%.
Hari Major to win as he is currently playing
50% better than Nigel Thomas.
Hari Major won all of the games and 59% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 43% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Hari Major played
47% better than Nigel Thomas in this match.
In this case, Hari Major played at level 5,171 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Nigel Thomas is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Hari Major: 79%, Nigel Thomas: 87%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Hari Major: 78%, Nigel Thomas: 86%.
A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Nigel Thomas:
3,506, level confidence: 86%.
Final level for Hari Major:
5,246, level confidence: 78%.