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Liam Eason v Alexis Cole (Thu 05 Apr 2018)

Match won by Liam Eason. Result: 11-9,11-6,2-11,11-9.

Starting level for Liam Eason: 9,451, level confidence: 60%.
Starting level for Alexis Cole: 8,041, level confidence: 62%.
Liam Eason to win as he is currently playing 18% better than Alexis Cole.

Liam Eason won 75% of the games and 50% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 0% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Liam Eason played 17% better than Alexis Cole in this match.

In this case, Liam Eason played at level 9,388 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Alexis Cole is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Liam Eason: 77%, Alexis Cole: 79%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Liam Eason: 77%, Alexis Cole: 78%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Liam Eason: 9,437, level confidence: 77%.
Final level for Alexis Cole: 8,029, level confidence: 78%.