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David Haley v Andrew Neal (Thu 29 Mar 2018)

Match won by David Haley. Result: 11-6,11-7,11-7.

Starting level for David Haley: 13,170, level confidence: 80%. Set manually.
Starting level for Andrew Neal: 7,462, level confidence: 77%. Set manually.
David Haley to win as he is currently playing 76% better than Andrew Neal.

David Haley won all of the games and 62% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 65% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that David Haley played 65% better than Andrew Neal in this match.

In this case, David Haley played at level 12,312 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Andrew Neal is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. David Haley: 89%, Andrew Neal: 88%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. David Haley: 86%, Andrew Neal: 85%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for David Haley: 13,150, level confidence: 86%.
Final level for Andrew Neal: 7,451, level confidence: 85%.