SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Alexis Cole v Jethro D Binns (Thu 29 Mar 2018)

Match won by Jethro D Binns. Result: 6-11,6-11,3-11.

Starting level for Alexis Cole: 8,458, level confidence: 75%. Set manually.
Starting level for Jethro D Binns: 10,100, level confidence: 74%. Set manually.
Jethro D Binns to win as he is currently playing 19% better than Alexis Cole.

Jethro D Binns won all of the games and 69% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 120% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Jethro D Binns played 120% better than Alexis Cole in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Jethro D Binns actually played at a level of 13,709 and Alexis Cole at a level of 6,231. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 36% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Jethro D Binns changes to +32% and Alexis Cole changes to -32%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Jethro D Binns becomes +8% and for Alexis Cole becomes -8.3%.

Given Jethro D Binns's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 17% has been applied to his level change.

Given Alexis Cole's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 13% has been applied to his level change. Looks like he wasn't taking the match too seriously...

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'South Wales Spring 2018' so the adjustment for Jethro D Binns is +5.1% and for Alexis Cole is -5.4%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Jethro D Binns: 86%, Alexis Cole: 86%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Jethro D Binns: 63%, Alexis Cole: 64%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Alexis Cole: 8,043, level confidence: 64%.
Final level for Jethro D Binns: 10,601, level confidence: 63%.