SquashLevels calculations
Joe McGoldrick v Hari Major (Tue 20 Mar 2018)
Match won by Hari Major. Result: 10-12,7-11,4-11.
Starting level for
Joe McGoldrick:
2,968, level confidence: 75%. Set manually.
Starting level for
Hari Major:
5,080, level confidence: 80%. Set manually.
Hari Major to win as he is currently playing
71% better than Joe McGoldrick.
Hari Major won all of the games and 62% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 62% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Hari Major played
62% better than Joe McGoldrick in this match.
In this case, Hari Major played at level 4,805 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Joe McGoldrick is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Hari Major: 90%, Joe McGoldrick: 87%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Hari Major: 87%, Joe McGoldrick: 84%.
A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Joe McGoldrick:
2,964, level confidence: 84%.
Final level for Hari Major:
5,072, level confidence: 87%.