SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Chris Scott v Chris Hill (Tue 20 Mar 2018)

Match won by Chris Scott. Result: 11-3,11-9,11-1.

Starting level for Chris Scott: 5,973, level confidence: 65%.
Starting level for Chris Hill: 5,301, level confidence: 85%. Set manually.
Chris Scott to win as he is currently playing 13% better than Chris Hill.

Chris Scott won all of the games and 72% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 154% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Chris Scott played 154% better than Chris Hill in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Chris Scott actually played at a level of 8,965 and Chris Hill at a level of 3,532. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 50% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Chris Scott changes to +47% and Chris Hill changes to -32%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Chris Scott becomes +12.3% and for Chris Hill becomes -9.3%.

Given Chris Scott's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 4% has been applied to his level change.

Given Chris Hill's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 1.3% has been applied to his level change. Looks like he wasn't taking the match too seriously...

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'South Wales Spring 2018' so the adjustment for Chris Scott is +8.9% and for Chris Hill is -6.7%.

Apply limits to the amount of change for a single match which are based on player level, level confidence and time since last match so that Chris Hill is limited to -5% level change. In general a player's level won't go up by more than 10% or drop more than 5% if they've played in the last 7 days but those limits are relaxed if their previous match was further back.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Chris Scott: 80%, Chris Hill: 92%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Chris Scott: 54%, Chris Hill: 61%.

A final adjustment of +0.7% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Chris Scott: 6,493, level confidence: 54%.
Final level for Chris Hill: 5,124, level confidence: 61%.