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Ramy Ashour v Raphael Kandra (Thu 15 Mar 2018)

Match won by Ramy Ashour. Result: 11-6,14-12,11-5.

Starting level for Ramy Ashour: 56,328, level confidence: 65%.
Starting level for Raphael Kandra: 35,685, level confidence: 88%. Set manually.
Ramy Ashour to win as he is currently playing 58% better than Raphael Kandra.

Ramy Ashour won all of the games and 61% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 57% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Ramy Ashour played 56% better than Raphael Kandra in this match.

In this case, Ramy Ashour played at level 55,676 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Raphael Kandra is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Ramy Ashour: 80%, Raphael Kandra: 94%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Ramy Ashour: 80%, Raphael Kandra: 93%.

A final adjustment of +0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Ramy Ashour: 56,359, level confidence: 80%.
Final level for Raphael Kandra: 35,740, level confidence: 93%.