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Charles Sharpes v Vikram Malhotra (Thu 08 Mar 2018)

Match won by Charles Sharpes. Result: 11-3,11-7,11-5.

Starting level for Charles Sharpes: 28,239, level confidence: 54%.
Starting level for Vikram Malhotra: 30,478, level confidence: 53%.
Vikram Malhotra to win as he is currently playing 8% better than Charles Sharpes.

Charles Sharpes won all of the games and 69% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 120% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Charles Sharpes played 120% better than Vikram Malhotra in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Charles Sharpes actually played at a level of 43,514 and Vikram Malhotra at a level of 19,779. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 54% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Charles Sharpes changes to +51% and Vikram Malhotra changes to -52%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Charles Sharpes becomes +9.4% and for Vikram Malhotra becomes -9.4%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Carter Classic' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Apply limits to the amount of change for a single match which are based on player level, level confidence and time since last match so that Charles Sharpes is limited to +5.9% and Vikram Malhotra is limited to -5% level change. In general a player's level won't go up by more than 10% or drop more than 5% if they've played in the last 7 days but those limits are relaxed if their previous match was further back.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Charles Sharpes: 73%, Vikram Malhotra: 73%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Charles Sharpes: 48%, Vikram Malhotra: 47%.

A final adjustment of -0% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Charles Sharpes: 29,878, level confidence: 48%.
Final level for Vikram Malhotra: 29,013, level confidence: 47%.