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Sanjay Singh Chal v Ramit Tandon (Tue 06 Mar 2018)

Match won by Sanjay Singh Chal. Result: 11-8,1-11,11-9,11-5.

Starting level for Sanjay Singh Chal: 19,795, level confidence: 77%. Set manually.
Starting level for Ramit Tandon: 31,772, level confidence: 68%.
Ramit Tandon to win as he is currently playing 61% better than Sanjay Singh Chal.

Sanjay Singh Chal won 75% of the games and 51% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 3% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Sanjay Singh Chal played 18% better than Ramit Tandon in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Sanjay Singh Chal actually played at a level of 27,213 and Ramit Tandon at a level of 23,111. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 37% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 29% and 29% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Sanjay Singh Chal changes to +25% and Ramit Tandon changes to -29%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Sanjay Singh Chal becomes +5.7% and for Ramit Tandon becomes -5.8%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Malaysian Tour No6' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Apply limits to the amount of change for a single match which are based on player level, level confidence and time since last match so that Ramit Tandon is limited to -5% level change. In general a player's level won't go up by more than 10% or drop more than 5% if they've played in the last 7 days but those limits are relaxed if their previous match was further back.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Sanjay Singh Chal: 88%, Ramit Tandon: 82%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Sanjay Singh Chal: 64%, Ramit Tandon: 60%.

A final adjustment of -0% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Sanjay Singh Chal: 20,914, level confidence: 64%.
Final level for Ramit Tandon: 30,259, level confidence: 60%.