SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Tsz Fung Yip v Chris Simpson (Fri 23 Feb 2018)

Match won by Tsz Fung Yip. Result: 6-11,11-7,11-6,12-10.

Starting level for Tsz Fung Yip: 34,698, level confidence: 78%. Set manually.
Starting level for Chris Simpson: 37,291, level confidence: 77%. Set manually.
Chris Simpson to win as he is currently playing 7% better than Tsz Fung Yip.

Tsz Fung Yip won 75% of the games and 54% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 18% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Tsz Fung Yip played 23% better than Chris Simpson in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Tsz Fung Yip actually played at a level of 39,825 and Chris Simpson at a level of 32,490. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 15% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Tsz Fung Yip changes to +14% and Chris Simpson changes to -14%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Tsz Fung Yip becomes +3.2% and for Chris Simpson becomes -3.2%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Windy City Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Tsz Fung Yip: 88%, Chris Simpson: 88%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Tsz Fung Yip: 77%, Chris Simpson: 76%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Tsz Fung Yip: 35,682, level confidence: 77%.
Final level for Chris Simpson: 36,171, level confidence: 76%.