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Ramit Tandon v Mahesh Mangaonkar (Wed 24 Jan 2018)

Match won by Ramit Tandon. Result: 11-8,11-6,11-7.

Starting level for Ramit Tandon: 31,038, level confidence: 69%.
Starting level for Mahesh Mangaonkar: 32,970, level confidence: 53%.
Mahesh Mangaonkar to win as he is currently playing 6% better than Ramit Tandon.

Ramit Tandon won all of the games and 61% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 57% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Ramit Tandon played 56% better than Mahesh Mangaonkar in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Ramit Tandon actually played at a level of 40,011 and Mahesh Mangaonkar at a level of 25,576. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 29% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Ramit Tandon changes to +22% and Mahesh Mangaonkar changes to -28%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Ramit Tandon becomes +4.6% and for Mahesh Mangaonkar becomes -5.7%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Pittsburgh Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Apply limits to the amount of change for a single match which are based on player level, level confidence and time since last match so that Mahesh Mangaonkar is limited to -5% level change. In general a player's level won't go up by more than 10% or drop more than 5% if they've played in the last 7 days but those limits are relaxed if their previous match was further back.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Ramit Tandon: 83%, Mahesh Mangaonkar: 73%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Ramit Tandon: 64%, Mahesh Mangaonkar: 57%.

A final adjustment of -0.3% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Ramit Tandon: 32,300, level confidence: 64%.
Final level for Mahesh Mangaonkar: 31,375, level confidence: 57%.