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Raphael Kandra v Benjamin Fischer (Mon 29 Jan 2018)

Match won by Raphael Kandra. Result: 11-8,11-7,11-3.

Starting level for Raphael Kandra: 35,200, level confidence: 48%.
Starting level for Benjamin Fischer: 16,167, level confidence: 64%.
Raphael Kandra to win as he is currently playing 118% better than Benjamin Fischer.

Raphael Kandra won all of the games and 65% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 83% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Raphael Kandra played 83% better than Benjamin Fischer in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Raphael Kandra was taking it easy by anything up to 15%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 24,635 and 35,200 without affecting his level.

In this case, Raphael Kandra played at level 29,838 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. On the assumption that Raphael Kandra would normally have been playing at level 30,037 (based on typical behaviour), Benjamin Fischer played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 0.7%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0%.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Raphael Kandra changes to 0% and Benjamin Fischer changes to +0.3%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Raphael Kandra becomes 0% and for Benjamin Fischer becomes 0%.

Given Benjamin Fischer's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 32% has been applied to his level change.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Swiss Interclub 17/18' so the adjustment for Raphael Kandra is 0% and for Benjamin Fischer is 0%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Raphael Kandra: 69%, Benjamin Fischer: 80%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Raphael Kandra: 63%, Benjamin Fischer: 73%.

A final adjustment of +0.3% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Raphael Kandra: 35,288, level confidence: 63%.
Final level for Benjamin Fischer: 16,222, level confidence: 73%.