SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Raphael Kandra v Alister Walker (Fri 19 Jan 2018)

Match won by Raphael Kandra. Result: 8-11,11-3,11-6,15-13.

Starting level for Raphael Kandra: 37,426, level confidence: 56%.
Starting level for Alister Walker: 29,847, level confidence: 35%.
Raphael Kandra to win as he is currently playing 25% better than Alister Walker.

Raphael Kandra won 75% of the games and 58% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 36% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Raphael Kandra played 29% better than Alister Walker in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Raphael Kandra actually played at a level of 37,924 and Alister Walker at a level of 29,455. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 1.3% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 1.2% and 1.2% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Raphael Kandra changes to +0.8% and Alister Walker changes to -1.2%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Raphael Kandra becomes +0.3% and for Alister Walker becomes -0.5%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Tournament Of Champions' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Raphael Kandra: 75%, Alister Walker: 59%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Raphael Kandra: 74%, Alister Walker: 59%.

A final adjustment of +0% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Raphael Kandra: 37,406, level confidence: 74%.
Final level for Alister Walker: 29,831, level confidence: 59%.