SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Mark Prescott v Hari Major (Thu 14 Dec 2017)

Match won by Mark Prescott. Result: 11-0,11-9,11-4.

Starting level for Mark Prescott: 6,604, level confidence: 77%. Set manually.
Starting level for Hari Major: 5,324, level confidence: 88%. Set manually.
Mark Prescott to win as he is currently playing 24% better than Hari Major.

Mark Prescott won all of the games and 72% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 154% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Mark Prescott played 154% better than Hari Major in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Mark Prescott actually played at a level of 9,447 and Hari Major at a level of 3,722. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 43% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 38% and 38% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Mark Prescott changes to +38% and Hari Major changes to -32%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Mark Prescott becomes +10.1% and for Hari Major becomes -9.3%.

Given Mark Prescott's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 6.4% has been applied to his level change.

Given Hari Major's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 1.4% has been applied to his level change. Looks like he wasn't taking the match too seriously...

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'NW Counties League 2017/2018' so the adjustment for Mark Prescott is +7.1% and for Hari Major is -6.7%.

Apply limits to the amount of change for a single match which are based on player level, level confidence and time since last match so that Hari Major is limited to -5% level change. In general a player's level won't go up by more than 10% or drop more than 5% if they've played in the last 7 days but those limits are relaxed if their previous match was further back.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Mark Prescott: 88%, Hari Major: 94%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Mark Prescott: 61%, Hari Major: 66%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Mark Prescott: 7,065, level confidence: 61%.
Final level for Hari Major: 5,063, level confidence: 66%.