SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Joel Makin v Christopher Binnie (Tue 12 Dec 2017)

Match won by Joel Makin. Result: 11-13,11-8,11-8,11-4.

Starting level for Joel Makin: 36,992, level confidence: 62%.
Starting level for Christopher Binnie: 25,020, level confidence: 70%. Set manually.
Joel Makin to win as he is currently playing 48% better than Christopher Binnie.

Joel Makin won 75% of the games and 57% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 33% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Joel Makin played 28% better than Christopher Binnie in this match.

As Joel Makin has played below his allowed range at 32,826, his level reduction is 2.7% before damping. On the assumption that Joel Makin would normally have been playing at level 35,314 (based on typical behaviour), Christopher Binnie played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 5.1%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 2.2% and 4.2% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Joel Makin changes to -2.2% and Christopher Binnie changes to +3.7%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Joel Makin becomes -0.9% and for Christopher Binnie becomes +1.4%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA World Championship' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Joel Makin: 79%, Christopher Binnie: 84%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Joel Makin: 73%, Christopher Binnie: 78%.

A final adjustment of -0% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Joel Makin: 36,545, level confidence: 73%.
Final level for Christopher Binnie: 25,443, level confidence: 78%.