SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Andrew Douglas v Eric Galvez (Wed 29 Nov 2017)

Match won by Andrew Douglas. Result: 11-9,9-11,11-7,7-11,15-13.

Starting level for Andrew Douglas: 18,432, level confidence: 49%.
Starting level for Eric Galvez: 24,500, level confidence: 64%.
Eric Galvez to win as he is currently playing 33% better than Andrew Douglas.

Andrew Douglas won 60% of the games and 51% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 10%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 4% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Andrew Douglas played 8% better than Eric Galvez in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Andrew Douglas actually played at a level of 22,133 and Eric Galvez at a level of 20,403. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 20% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 17% and 17% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Andrew Douglas changes to +17% and Eric Galvez changes to -13%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Andrew Douglas becomes +4.2% and for Eric Galvez becomes -3.2%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Securian Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Andrew Douglas: 70%, Eric Galvez: 80%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Andrew Douglas: 58%, Eric Galvez: 67%.

Final level for Andrew Douglas: 19,214, level confidence: 58%.
Final level for Eric Galvez: 23,747, level confidence: 67%.