SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

David Haley v Ben Ford (Mon 20 Nov 2017)

Match won by David Haley. Result: 11-9,8-11,11-9,5-11,11-8.

Starting level for David Haley: 11,374, level confidence: 57%.
Starting level for Ben Ford: 14,044, level confidence: 72%. Set manually.
Ben Ford to win as he is currently playing 23% better than David Haley.

David Haley won 60% of the games and 49% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 10%.
This points result would be expected if he was worse by around 4% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that David Haley played 6% better than Ben Ford in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like David Haley actually played at a level of 13,040 and Ben Ford at a level of 12,249. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 15% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 13% and 13% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for David Haley changes to +13% and Ben Ford changes to -10.1%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for David Haley becomes +3.8% and for Ben Ford becomes -3%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Sutton Coldfield International' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. David Haley: 75%, Ben Ford: 85%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. David Haley: 66%, Ben Ford: 74%.

A final adjustment of +0.5% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for David Haley: 11,804, level confidence: 66%.
Final level for Ben Ford: 13,763, level confidence: 74%.