SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

James Willstrop v Vikram Malhotra (Wed 15 Nov 2017)

Match won by James Willstrop. Result: 11-4,9-11,11-8.

Starting level for James Willstrop: 45,891, level confidence: 73%. Set manually.
Starting level for Vikram Malhotra: 29,405, level confidence: 58%.
James Willstrop to win as he is currently playing 56% better than Vikram Malhotra.

James Willstrop won 67% of the games and 57% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 20%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 35% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that James Willstrop played 27% better than Vikram Malhotra in this match.

As James Willstrop has played below his allowed range at 39,116, his level reduction is 4.4% before damping. On the assumption that James Willstrop would normally have been playing at level 43,295 (based on typical behaviour), Vikram Malhotra played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 7.5%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 3.5% and 6% respectively.
As this is a best of 3 match rather than best of 5, these adjustments have been reduced to 2.6% and 4.4% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for James Willstrop changes to -2.1% and Vikram Malhotra changes to +4.4%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for James Willstrop becomes -0.8% and for Vikram Malhotra becomes +1.5%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'Senior World Team Championship' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. James Willstrop: 85%, Vikram Malhotra: 76%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. James Willstrop: 77%, Vikram Malhotra: 69%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for James Willstrop: 45,356, level confidence: 77%.
Final level for Vikram Malhotra: 29,865, level confidence: 69%.